Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Niort had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochaux in this match.