Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Niort had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.58%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.