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Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
New York City

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
NY City

Fernandez (76')
Reyes (67'), Nealis (72'), Tolkin (81'), Casseres Jr (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Parks (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 NY City
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-2 New York City FC

 Aside from last year, Red Bull Arena has not been kind to the Boys in Blue, but NYCFC have not played as poorly on the road as their record indicates, and things in this league have a way of eventually evening themselves out. The Red Bulls have not shown nearly enough when in possession to suggest that they have fixed their attacking frailties, and we believe the Pigeons will be able to find a way through a side that are about as low as we have seen domestically in quite some time.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
48.23% (1.065 1.07) 26.62% (-0.126 -0.13) 25.15% (-0.938 -0.94)
Both teams to score 47.25% (-0.419 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.23% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)56.77% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (-0.121 -0.12)77.71% (0.122 0.12)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.432 0.43)23.59% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (0.619 0.62)57.66% (-0.617 -0.62)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-0.90199999999999 -0.9)38.17% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (-0.877 -0.88)74.93% (0.879 0.88)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 48.23%
    New York City FC 25.15%
    Draw 26.62%
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 13% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.287 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 48.23%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 9% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 25.15%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
NY City
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Callens (1'), Rodriguez (23')

Morgan (25')
Jul 17, 2022 10pm
NY Red Bulls
0-1
NY City

Casseres Jr (84'), Amaya (86'), Nealis (90+4')
Castellanos (69')
Morales (41'), Acevedo (71'), Castellanos (88')
Oct 17, 2021 6pm
gameweek 40
NY Red Bulls
1-0
NY City
Casseres Jr (3')
Nealis (16'), Davis (21')

Chanot (34'), Amundsen (82')
Sep 26, 2021 1am
gameweek 35
NY City
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Sands (62'), Castellanos (75')
Fernandez (43')
Tolkin (13'), Duncan (85')
Sep 23, 2021 1am
gameweek 27
NY Red Bulls
1-1
NY City
Klimala (90+12' pen., 90+12' pen.)
Davis (45'), Reyes (61'), Klimala (80'), Duncan (82'), Clark (84')
Castellanos (31')
Callens (21'), Tinnerholm (44'), Chanot (84')
Parks (73'), Chanot (90+10')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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