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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Stade Saputo
New York City

Montreal
2 - 0
NY City

Clark (18'), Martinez (45+1')
Clark (59'), Waterman (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Haak (7'), Parks (69'), Risa (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 6 at 9.25pm in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 New York City FC

 Despite their form against the Pigeons in recent times and the fact that NYCFC have plenty to play for, we are going with the home side. Le CFM have essentially been in must-win mode over the past few weeks and delivered more often than not, which has us believing they can claim a victory when they need it most. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
40.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 24.31% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 35.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.11% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (0.082000000000001 0.08)42.56% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (0.081000000000003 0.08)64.96% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.061 0.06)54.24% (-0.061 -0.06)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.040999999999997 0.04)23.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (0.060000000000002 0.06)57.71% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 40.12%
    New York City FC 35.57%
    Draw 24.31%
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 8.68%
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 35.57%

How you voted: Montreal vs NY City

CF Montreal
52.4%
Draw
9.5%
New York City FC
38.1%
21
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
NY City
2-0
Montreal
Martinez (9', 56')
Sands (90+3')

Campbell (52')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
NY City
2-0
Montreal
Jasson (30'), Bakrar (37')
Perea (58')

Waterman (45')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2023 2.03am
Montreal
0-1
NY City

Lassiter (30')
Pellegrini (33')
Pellegrini (29'), Ilencic (64'), Rodriguez (85')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 6pm
Conference Semi-Finals
Montreal
1-3
NY City
Mihailovic (85')
Moralez (6'), Heber (45+3'), Magno (61' pen.)
> Preview
Jul 31, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
0-0
NY City
Johnston (35'), Waterman (53')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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