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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Nov 8, 2023 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Columbus Crew

Atlanta
4 - 2
Columbus Crew

Giakoumakis (38'), Silva (45+4'), Mosquera (83'), Almada (88')
Giakoumakis (18'), Silva (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Camilo Hernandez (45'), Arfsten (90+5')
Camilo Hernandez (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta
Wednesday, November 1 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta
Wednesday, November 1 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Columbus Crew

 With Almada back in the fold, we expect to see a much more aggressive and determined Atlanta side in this one, and his vision and passing ability should enable the Five Stripes to create more chances and find a way through an inconsistent Crew defensive unit.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.72%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
46.65% (0.264 0.26) 21.87% (0.166 0.17) 31.48% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 67.84% (-0.86 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.14% (-1.031 -1.03)31.86% (1.04 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.6% (-1.217 -1.22)53.4% (1.227 1.23)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (-0.297 -0.3)14.34% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.81% (-0.588 -0.59)42.19% (0.599 0.6)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.721 -0.72)20.8% (0.731 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (-1.152 -1.15)53.47% (1.161 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 46.65%
    Columbus Crew 31.48%
    Draw 21.87%
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 4.49% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.023 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.98% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 2.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.68% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.48%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Columbus Crew

Atlanta United
52.0%
Draw
20.0%
Columbus Crew
28.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
2-0
Atlanta
Camilo Hernandez (45+1', 51' pen.)
Camacho (78'), Rossi (79')

Muyumba (25'), Robinson (71'), Thiare (77')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
1-1
Columbus Crew
Robinson (90+7')
Camilo Hernandez (65')
> Preview
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
6-1
Atlanta
Morris (14'), Ramirez (47', 64'), Quinton (51'), Russell-Rowe (68'), Arfsten (90+1')
Lennon (71')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 11.48pm
Columbus Crew
2-2
Atlanta
Camilo Hernandez (66', 72')
Artur (31'), Etienne (51'), Mensah (82')
Sosa (21'), Sanchez (77')
Sosa (69'), Mosquera (80')
> Preview
May 29, 2022 12am
Atlanta
1-2
Columbus Crew
Moreno (45+5'), Ibarra (45+10'), Franco (89'), Dwyer (90+3')
Almada (90+7')
Sands (61')
> Preview
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