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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Columbus Crew

Atlanta
1 - 1
Columbus Crew

Robinson (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Camilo Hernandez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-2 Atlanta
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Last Game: New England 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Columbus Crew

 Atlanta United and Columbus Crew have enjoyed a solid campaign and will be looking to build up some momentum ahead of the playoffs. The Crew are unbeaten in their last three games against Atlanta, picking up two wins and one draw, and given their current form, we fancy them holding out for a point in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
53.24% (-0.553 -0.55) 21.5% (0.058 0.06) 25.26% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 64.06% (0.354 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.3% (0.224 0.22)34.7% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.34% (0.25 0.25)56.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)13.24% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (-0.184 -0.18)40.02% (0.186 0.19)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.486 0.49)26.16% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (0.646 0.65)61.24% (-0.643 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 53.24%
    Columbus Crew 25.26%
    Draw 21.5%
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 53.24%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.26%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Columbus Crew

Atlanta United
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Columbus Crew
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
6-1
Atlanta
Morris (14'), Ramirez (47', 64'), Quinton (51'), Russell-Rowe (68'), Arfsten (90+1')
Lennon (71')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 11.48pm
Columbus Crew
2-2
Atlanta
Camilo Hernandez (66', 72')
Artur (31'), Etienne (51'), Mensah (82')
Sosa (21'), Sanchez (77')
Sosa (69'), Mosquera (80')
> Preview
May 29, 2022 12am
Atlanta
1-2
Columbus Crew
Moreno (45+5'), Ibarra (45+10'), Franco (89'), Dwyer (90+3')
Almada (90+7')
Sands (61')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Columbus Crew
2-3
Atlanta
Mensah (37'), Santos (90+1' pen.)
Room (90+7')
Barco (5', 35'), Moreno (65' pen.)
Sosa (45+3'), Walkes (66')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Atlanta
0-1
Columbus Crew
Mensah (65')
Hurtado (44'), Francis (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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