Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.96% . A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.49% .
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%) , while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.7%) . The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result Philadelphia Union Draw Atlanta United 55.96% ( 0.02) 22.55% ( -0.01) 21.49% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.01)
56.13% ( 0.02) 43.87% ( -0.01)
33.74% ( 0.02) 66.26% ( -0.01)
84.48% ( 0.02) 15.52% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.57% ( 0.03) 44.43% ( -0.02)
65.64% ( -0) 34.36% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.93% ( -0.01) 71.07% ( 0.01)
Philadelphia Union 55.96%
Atlanta United 21.49%
Draw 22.55%
Philadelphia Union Draw Atlanta United 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.96% 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.55% 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.49%
How you voted: Philadelphia vs Atlanta
Philadelphia Union
Draw
Atlanta United
9
rhs 2.0
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