We said: Atlanta United 2-1 CF Montreal
Atlanta United and Montreal dropped points in their last outings and will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result. The Five Stripes' home record in this fixture makes them firm favourites to come out on top and are tipping them to edge out Losada's side once again.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.