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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Atlanta
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (90+2'), Bucha (89'), Acosta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 FC Cincinnati

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table and that is something that could end up being reflected in the match this weekend. Cincinnati has struggled in recent weeks and that is something they need to turn around as soon as possible, but Atlanta's strengths could lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
47.65% (-1.912 -1.91) 23.47% (0.535 0.54) 28.88% (1.377 1.38)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.819 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (-1.552 -1.55)41.17% (1.554 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-1.599 -1.6)63.57% (1.599 1.6)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-1.299 -1.3)17.51% (1.299 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (-2.316 -2.32)48.02% (2.317 2.32)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.155 0.16)27% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.2 0.2)62.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 47.65%
    FC Cincinnati 28.88%
    Draw 23.46%
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.326 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.256 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.452 0.45)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.312 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.88%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Cincinnati

Atlanta United
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
FC Cincinnati
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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