Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 24 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Wednesday, March 6 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League
We said: Atlanta United 2-0 New England Revolution
Atlanta could be fresh and rusty simultaneously having not played for two weeks, but the positives are likely to outweigh the negatives in that regard given that their opponents have had a busy schedule during that timeframe. The hosts clearly possess greater quality than the visitors, too, and that leads us to predict a comfortable home win. That would mean three successive league defeats for New England. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New England Revolution |
49.26% ( 1.62) | 22.45% ( 0.11) | 28.28% ( -1.74) |
| Both teams to score 63.43% ( -1.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( -1.71) | 36.73% ( 1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.1% ( -1.89) | 58.9% ( 1.88) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.07) | 15.25% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.06% ( -0.13) | 43.93% ( 0.12) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( -1.95) | 25.14% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.14% ( -2.77) | 59.85% ( 2.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.57)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.05% Total : 49.26% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.28% |
How you voted: Atlanta vs New England
Pineda (23'), Ibarra (55'), Giakoumakis (81'), Guzan (83'), Gutman (90+2')
