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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Kubo (3')
Nwobodo (32'), Miazga (45+4'), Orellano (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Amaya (19'), Vanzeir (60')
Amaya (70'), Ngoma (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are coming into this match following fairly underwhelming performances last weekend and will be looking for a better showing this week. There is very little to separate these two on paper but Cincinnati's defence, particularly at home, has been impressive and we feel they will be able to manage another shut out here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
55.76% (0.575 0.57) 24.49% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 19.74% (-0.518 -0.52)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (-0.379 -0.38)53.95% (0.375 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.319 -0.32)75.4% (0.315 0.31)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.075000000000003 0.08)19.25% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.125 0.13)50.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (-0.782 -0.78)41.92% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (-0.689 -0.69)78.37% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 55.75%
    New York Red Bulls 19.74%
    Draw 24.49%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.29% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 10.95% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 55.75%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.74%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
New York Red Bulls
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties
Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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