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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Orlando City
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Torres (56' pen.)
Jansson (23'), Angulo (76'), Pereyra (76'), Araujo (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reyes (6'), Barlow (49'), Amaya (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 1-2 New York Red Bulls

We believe that Red Bull's impressive pre-season run will extend into the MLS season with a narrow win away against Orlando. We think that this will be a close match-up and that the away side will be tested defensively in this engagement, but will score the necessary goals to edge the contest.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
43.88% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05) 26.09% (0.012 0.01) 30.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.16% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)52.04% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)73.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)23.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.058 -0.06)57.66% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27%31.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 43.88%
    New York Red Bulls 30.03%
    Draw 26.09%
Orlando CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.03%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY Red Bulls

Orlando City
42.9%
Draw
7.1%
New York Red Bulls
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 11pm
NY Red Bulls
0-1
Orlando City

Tolkin (12'), Casseres Jr (32')
Torres (17')
Moutinho (16')
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
Orlando City
0-3
NY Red Bulls

Urso (45+3')
Luquinhas (26'), Casseres Jr (48'), Morgan (88' pen.)
Fletcher (33'), Nealis (41'), Luquinhas (42'), Morgan (42'), Coronel (83')
Jul 4, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Mueller (59')
Urso (2'), Pereyra (41')
Casseres Jr (6')
Duncan (22'), Gomes (34'), Yearwood (57'), Barlow (90+6')
May 29, 2021 6pm
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Orlando City
Clark (35'), Casseres Jr (60')
Davis (65'), Casseres Jr (80')
Van der Water (84')
Carlos (52'), Mendez (56'), Jansson (74')
Oct 19, 2020 12am
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Orlando City
White (90+5')
Valot (90+1')
Nani (55' pen.)
Miller (25'), Urso (36'), Nani (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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