Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
48.88% (![]() | 23.28% (![]() | 27.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% (![]() | 41.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% (![]() | 63.41% (![]() |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% (![]() | 16.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.9% (![]() | 47.09% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% (![]() | 27.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% (![]() | 63.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.49% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.33% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 4.1% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 10.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.88% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |