Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
59.07% ( -2.43) | 21.1% ( 0.73) | 19.83% ( 1.7) |
Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.47% ( -0.71) | 39.52% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.13% ( -0.74) | 61.87% ( 0.74) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.91% ( -0.92) | 13.08% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.3% ( -1.9) | 39.69% ( 1.9) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.5% ( 1.36) | 33.49% ( -1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.87% ( 1.46) | 70.13% ( -1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.36) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.57% Total : 59.07% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |