We said: Austin FC 3-1 Minnesota United
Austin are the most dangerous attacking side in the league at the moment, and although St. Clair has played exceptionally well for Minnesota, he can only do so much to contain such a dynamic side, who have scored 11 goals this season in three home fixtures.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.