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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
Houston Dynamo

Seattle
1 - 0
Houston

Rusnak (67')
Cissoko (18'), Baker (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Olsen (19'), Micael (61'), Caicedo (89'), Sviatchenko (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, June 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-0 Houston
Sunday, June 25 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Houston Dynamo

Despite their lofty league positions, neither team have been particularly convincing of late, especially the Sounders who have completely lost their way. Nevertheless, we feel that the home side will do enough to earn a share of the spoils and retain hold of the bronze-medal position.

How to watch

You can watch Seattle Sounders vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
63.44% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 21.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 15.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)49.4% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.041 -0.04)71.44% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)14.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.93% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)45.06% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.01% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)80.98% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 63.43%
    Houston Dynamo 15.04%
    Draw 21.51%
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 12.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.71% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 63.43%
1-1 @ 10.2%
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.51%
0-1 @ 5.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.04%

How you voted: Seattle vs Houston

Seattle Sounders
56.3%
Draw
18.8%
Houston Dynamo
25.0%
16
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 1.30am
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Seattle
Carrasquilla (11'), Ceren (90')
Carrasquilla (54')
Rowe (47'), Roldan (79')
Roldan (82')
Oct 17, 2021 1.30am
Jul 8, 2021 2am
rhs 2.0
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