Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
58.66% (![]() | 23.01% (![]() | 18.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.96% (![]() | 50.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.98% (![]() | 72.01% (![]() |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.25% (![]() | 16.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.32% (![]() | 46.68% (![]() |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.76% (![]() | 41.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.23% (![]() | 77.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
1-0 @ 12.34% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.02% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.65% | 1-1 @ 10.93% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |