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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Austin FC

Portland
0 - 1
Austin

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (42')
Pereira (22'), Obrian (40'), Stuver (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 Austin FC

Portland Timbers return to the Q2 Stadium for the first of their final two home games of the campaign and will fancy themselves against a deflated Austin side who have run out of steam at the business end of the season. Neville's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we are backing them to extend their dominance over Los Verdes with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.84%) and 3-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawAustin FC
55.06% (1.285 1.29) 20.71% (-0.615 -0.61) 24.23% (-0.665 -0.66)
Both teams to score 65.82% (1.542 1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09% (2.333 2.33)31.91% (-2.328 -2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54% (2.68 2.68)53.46% (-2.675 -2.68)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (1.148 1.15)11.78% (-1.142 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (2.394 2.39)36.98% (-2.389 -2.39)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.791 0.79)25.39% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (1.07 1.07)60.2% (-1.063 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 55.06%
    Austin FC 24.23%
    Draw 20.71%
Portland TimbersDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.212 0.21)
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.525 -0.53)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.58% (0.244 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.263 0.26)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.137 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.45% (0.231 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.174 0.17)
4-3 @ 1.12% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.105 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.508 -0.51)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.392 -0.39)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.1% (-0.434 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 24.23%

How you voted: Portland vs Austin

Portland Timbers
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Austin FC
5.9%
17
Head to Head
May 30, 2024 1.30am
Austin
0-2
Portland

Zardes (47'), Jimenez (50'), Hines-Ike (64'), Fodrey (74'), Pereira (77')
Evander (45+3'), Rodriguez (66' pen.)
Paredes (90+2')
Sep 18, 2023 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Portland
Driussi (75')
Wolff (57'), Cascante (61')
Mora (39'), Evander (65')
Antony (90+7')
May 7, 2023 3.30am
Sep 1, 2022 3.51am
Mar 13, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Austin
Tuiloma (62')
Chara (53'), Paredes (57'), Blanco (90+6')

Dominguez (49'), Driussi (50'), Kolmanic (50'), Pereira (60'), Valencia (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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