Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.84%) and 3-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
55.06% ( 1.29) | 20.71% ( -0.61) | 24.23% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 65.82% ( 1.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.09% ( 2.33) | 31.91% ( -2.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.54% ( 2.68) | 53.46% ( -2.68) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.22% ( 1.15) | 11.78% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.03% ( 2.39) | 36.98% ( -2.39) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% ( 0.79) | 25.39% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% ( 1.07) | 60.2% ( -1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.53) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.17) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 24.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |