Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Charlotte FC |
48.47% ( 0.37) | 24.89% ( -0.17) | 26.64% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.98% ( 0.58) | 49.02% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.9% ( 0.52) | 71.1% ( -0.51) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% ( 0.39) | 20.26% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.4% ( 0.62) | 52.6% ( -0.61) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.28% ( 0.15) | 32.72% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.73% ( 0.17) | 69.27% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Charlotte FC |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |