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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Inter Miami

Chicago Fire
4 - 1
Inter Miami

Shaqiri (49', 73'), Haile-Selassie (62', 65')
Dean (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (53' pen.)
Busquets (42'), Martino (43'), Farias (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Sunday, October 1 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Inter Miami

 With time running out for them to rescue a playoff spot, Inter Miami will be desperate to get Messi back onto the pitch as soon as possible, but it may be from the bench at best in this match. Despite winning their last match, Chicago were fortunate to benefit from a red card for their opponents, and we can envisage Inter Miami returning to winning ways themselves in midweek.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawInter Miami
51.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.85% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)45.85% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)68.16% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)48.66% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)32.47% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)68.99% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 51.33%
    Inter Miami 24.86%
    Draw 23.81%
Chicago FireDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.86%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami

Chicago Fire
23.9%
Draw
8.7%
Inter Miami
67.4%
46
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Inter Miami
2-3
Chicago Fire
Negri (45+3'), Stefanelli (76')
Mueller (30'), Teran (38'), Kamara (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
3-1
Inter Miami
> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Miami
0-0
Chicago Fire
Yedlin (53'), Lowe (74'), Quinteros (77')
Duran (87')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 27
Inter Miami
3-2
Chicago Fire
Vassilev (34'), Robinson (62'), Pizarro (90+3')
Gonzalez Pirez (50'), Robinson (74'), Carranza (84')
Calvo (40'), Stojanovic (48')
Herbers (60')
> Preview
May 22, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 8
Chicago Fire
1-0
Inter Miami
Stojanovic (70')
Medran (9'), Offor (90'), Sekulic (90+1')

Gonzalez Pirez (23'), Ulloa (31'), Robinson (61'), Shawcross (68'), Matuidi (68'), Figal (87')
> Preview
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