Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
64.5% ( -3.27) | 19.9% ( 1.05) | 15.6% ( 2.22) |
Both teams to score 53.27% ( 2.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.65% ( 0.05) | 41.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.25% ( 0.05) | 63.75% ( -0.05) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.9% ( -0.87) | 12.1% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.34% ( -1.87) | 37.65% ( 1.86) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.6% ( 3.14) | 39.39% ( -3.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.9% ( 2.8) | 76.09% ( -2.81) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.78) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.6) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.32) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.62% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |