Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
The Caps have built up a lot of confidence away from home of late, winning three of their last four road contests in all competitions, and we expect Gauld and White to carry them to another massive three points on Wednesday.
Defensively, the Fire have struggled in recent outings, while they have not created nearly as many scoring opportunities since Mueller was sidelined through injury.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.14% . A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.02%) . The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood .
Result Chicago Fire Draw Vancouver Whitecaps 42.14% ( -0.05) 25.4% ( 0.03) 32.46% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.47% ( -0.09)
51.77% ( -0.12) 48.23% ( 0.11)
29.62% ( -0.1) 70.38% ( 0.1)
77.22% ( -0.08) 22.78% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.52% ( -0.11) 56.48% ( 0.11)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
71.84% ( -0.04) 28.16% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.15% ( -0.05) 63.85% ( 0.05)
Chicago Fire 42.14%
Vancouver Whitecaps 32.46%
Draw 25.39%
Chicago Fire Draw Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.14% 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39% 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.46%
How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Vancouver
Chicago Fire
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
8
rhs 2.0
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