Major League Soccer

Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Illarramendi (25'), Sealy (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kikanovic (6')
Gruezo (21'), Rodrigues (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 0-0 Earthquakes (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, October 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

In an opening match of the season which could be quite cagey, Dallas having home-field advantage could make all the difference on Saturday night. The Toros will be raring to unleash record-signing Musa on MLS, and we reckon that the Portuguese attacker will have a winning start to life in North America. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
Dallas	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
42.04% ( 0.44)	26.33% ( 0.14)	31.62% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.57% (

-0.73)

52.42% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

-0.63)

74.1% (

0.63)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

-0.1)

24.67% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.79% (

-0.15)

59.2% (

0.15)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19% (

-0.75)

30.8% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92% (

-0.9)

67.08% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Dallas 42.03%

San Jose Earthquakes 31.62%

Draw 26.33%

Dallas	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.03%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.62%