Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Obrian (57')
Ibeagha (60'), Twumasi (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ebobisse (3')
Ebobisse (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

There is little separating the teams in terms of attacking prowess, but Dallas have been the much better team defensively and consequently, we are tipping them to emerge triumphant from what should be an open and end-to-end contest.

How to watch

You can watch Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Dallas	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
51.01% ( -0.52)	24.73% ( -0.05)	24.26% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.78% (

0.69)

50.22% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.82% (

0.61)

72.18% (

-0.61)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31% (

0.06)

19.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.32% (

0.1)

51.68% (

-0.1)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65% (

0.88)

35.35% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89% (

0.91)

72.11% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Dallas 51.01%

San Jose Earthquakes 24.26%

Draw 24.73%

Dallas	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.01%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 2% Total : 24.26%