Major League Soccer

Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Pukki (56')
Arriaga (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marie (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes

With just three points separating Minnesota United and San Jose, we anticipate an action-packed contest at Allianz Field as both sides look to strengthen their stake for a playoff spot. Given the stakes of the game, we predict that both sides will take a cautious approach to this one and settle for a share of the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
63.96% ( 0.07)	20.25% ( 0.03)	15.79% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.53% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.44% (

-0.3)

42.56% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.04% (

-0.3)

64.96% (

0.3)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.38% (

-0.07)

12.62% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.26% (

-0.15)

38.74% (

0.15)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.11% (

-0.3)

39.89% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.45% (

-0.28)

76.55% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 63.95%

San Jose Earthquakes 15.79%

Draw 20.25%

Minnesota United	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 63.95%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.25%	0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.79%