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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
San Jose Earthquakes

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Pukki (56')
Arriaga (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marie (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes

With just three points separating Minnesota United and San Jose, we anticipate an action-packed contest at Allianz Field as both sides look to strengthen their stake for a playoff spot. Given the stakes of the game, we predict that both sides will take a cautious approach to this one and settle for a share of the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
63.96% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 20.25% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 15.79% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.53% (-0.308 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (-0.299 -0.3)42.56% (0.302 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (-0.299 -0.3)64.96% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)12.62% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.26% (-0.148 -0.15)38.74% (0.151 0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-0.302 -0.3)39.89% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-0.279 -0.28)76.55% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 63.95%
    San Jose Earthquakes 15.79%
    Draw 20.25%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 10.41% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.44% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.84% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 63.95%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.25%
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 15.79%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3.30am
Mar 20, 2022 12am
Aug 18, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 26
Earthquakes
1-1
Minnesota Utd

Lopez (90+4')
Cardoso (21')
Trapp (22')
Taylor (82'), Dibassy (89')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Earthquakes

Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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