Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for DC United had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.