Major League Soccer

Jun 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK

TQL Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Acosta (83')
Miazga (54'), Barreal (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Souquet (38'), Shaqiri (67'), Haile-Selassie (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-3 Cincinnati
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire do have the ability to cause their hosts problems on Saturday, having hit three goals in two of their last three outings, but we anticipate them being too vulnerable defensively and not having enough to take a result against the MLS' form side. Now full of confidence on the back of five consecutive league wins, Pat Noonan's men will back themselves to again come out on top on home turf.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Chicago Fire
56.44% ( -1.42)	23.18% ( 0.4)	20.39% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 51.77% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.04% (

-0.3)

47.96% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.87% (

-0.27)

70.14% (

0.27)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21% (

-0.6)

16.79% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.25% (

-1.08)

46.75% (

1.08)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.22% (

0.92)

37.78% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.44% (

0.88)

74.56% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 56.43%

Chicago Fire 20.39%

Draw 23.17%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.43%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.39%