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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Chicago Fire

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Acosta (83')
Miazga (54'), Barreal (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Souquet (38'), Shaqiri (67'), Haile-Selassie (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-3 Cincinnati
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Chicago Fire

 Chicago Fire do have the ability to cause their hosts problems on Saturday, having hit three goals in two of their last three outings, but we anticipate them being too vulnerable defensively and not having enough to take a result against the MLS' form side. Now full of confidence on the back of five consecutive league wins, Pat Noonan's men will back themselves to again come out on top on home turf.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
56.44% (-1.423 -1.42) 23.18% (0.395 0.4) 20.39% (1.027 1.03)
Both teams to score 51.77% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.296 -0.3)47.96% (0.295 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.273 -0.27)70.14% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.59800000000001 -0.6)16.79% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.078 -1.08)46.75% (1.077 1.08)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.92 0.92)37.78% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.882 0.88)74.56% (-0.884 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 56.43%
    Chicago Fire 20.39%
    Draw 23.17%
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 56.43%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.226 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 20.39%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire

FC Cincinnati
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Cincinnati
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-3
Chicago Fire
Acosta (78'), Vazquez (89')
Duran (56', 75'), Gutierrez (59')
May 15, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Cincinnati
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 41
Cincinnati
3-4
Chicago Fire
Jun 24, 2021 1am
gameweek 12
Chicago Fire
0-1
Cincinnati
Barreal (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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