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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Chicago Fire

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Acosta (83')
Miazga (54'), Barreal (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Souquet (38'), Shaqiri (67'), Haile-Selassie (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-3 Cincinnati
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Chicago Fire

 Chicago Fire do have the ability to cause their hosts problems on Saturday, having hit three goals in two of their last three outings, but we anticipate them being too vulnerable defensively and not having enough to take a result against the MLS' form side. Now full of confidence on the back of five consecutive league wins, Pat Noonan's men will back themselves to again come out on top on home turf.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
56.44% (-1.423 -1.42) 23.18% (0.395 0.4) 20.39% (1.027 1.03)
Both teams to score 51.77% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.296 -0.3)47.96% (0.295 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.273 -0.27)70.14% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.59800000000001 -0.6)16.79% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.078 -1.08)46.75% (1.077 1.08)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.92 0.92)37.78% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.882 0.88)74.56% (-0.884 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 56.43%
    Chicago Fire 20.39%
    Draw 23.17%
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 56.43%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.226 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 20.39%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire

FC Cincinnati
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Cincinnati
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-3
Chicago Fire
Acosta (78'), Vazquez (89')
Duran (56', 75'), Gutierrez (59')
May 15, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Cincinnati
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 41
Cincinnati
3-4
Chicago Fire
Jun 24, 2021 1am
gameweek 12
Chicago Fire
0-1
Cincinnati
Barreal (50')
rhs 2.0
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