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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Columbus Crew

Cincinnati
3 - 2
Columbus Crew

Acosta (17', 23' pen.), Moreno (67')
Miazga (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zelarayan (40'), Amundsen (52')
Amundsen (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Columbus Crew

 Cincinnati are in brilliant form, and although Columbus have done well to snap their winless streak, we think the Orange and Blue will be tough to stop here, so we are siding with a home victory.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
47.08% (-0.576 -0.58) 24.87% (0.223 0.22) 28.06% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.463 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (-0.731 -0.73)47.97% (0.733 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.676 -0.68)70.14% (0.67700000000001 0.68)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)20.43% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.86 -0.86)52.87% (0.863 0.86)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)31.07% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.135 -0.13)67.39% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 47.08%
    Columbus Crew 28.06%
    Draw 24.87%
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.06%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Vazquez (36'), Miazga (77')
Moreno (43')
Etienne (74'), Moreira (90+6')
Degenek (47')
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
2-0
Cincinnati
Camilo Hernandez (16'), Zelarayan (86' pen.)
Moreira (78')

Hagglund (47'), Nwobodo (84')
Aug 27, 2021 11.30pm
gameweek 27
Columbus Crew
3-2
Cincinnati
Zelarayan (45'), Berry (81', 83')
Matarrita (45+3'), Atanga (75')
Jul 10, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 16
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Castillo (1'), Acosta (24')
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
Zelarayan (45+1'), Berry (77')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 18
Cincinnati
2-1
Columbus Crew
Kubo (17' pen.), Hagglund (49')
Gutman (7')
Santos (45' pen.)
Alashe (31'), Mensah (37'), Boateng (45+2'), Morris (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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