Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 48%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.