Major League Soccer

Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Acosta (69' pen.)
Mosquera (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mbaizo (21'), Blake (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, April 2 at 1.40am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia Union

FC Cincinnati have excelled so far this season, particularly in defence, and with home advantage, we back them to score another 1-0 victory against a Philadelphia Union side who are yet to hit their stride and face a fast turnaround from a tough continental outing.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
43.06% ( 0.06)	26.01% ( -0.02)	30.93% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.85% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

0.07)

51.35% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

0.06)

73.17% (

-0.06)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

0.06)

23.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19% (

0.09)

57.81% (

-0.09)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

0.01)

30.74% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33% (

0.01)

67% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 43.05%

Philadelphia Union 30.93%

Draw 26.01%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.05%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.93%