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Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2024 at 3.40am UK
Rose Bowl
Los Angeles FC

LA Galaxy
1 - 2
Los Angeles

Pec (56')
Cerrillo (22'), Puig (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kamara (40'), Bouanga (44' pen.)
Tillman (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Los Angeles FC

 Traditionally, these encounters are full of tension and goals, and we expect the same on Thursday in front of what should be a huge crowd in Pasadena. Defensive structure tends to be forgotten when these rivals take to the field, and we expect to see a plethora of scoring opportunities for each, though we do not believe either will do enough to earn three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawLos Angeles FC
39.56% (1.611 1.61) 23.08% (-0.144 -0.14) 37.36% (-1.461 -1.46)
Both teams to score 65% (0.536 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.72% (0.70800000000001 0.71)36.28% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.59% (0.77 0.77)58.41% (-0.765 -0.77)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (1.044 1.04)18.87% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (1.709 1.71)50.34% (-1.705 -1.71)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (-0.372 -0.37)19.88% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (-0.606 -0.61)51.99% (0.612 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 39.56%
    Los Angeles FC 37.36%
    Draw 23.08%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.158 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 39.56%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.81% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.75% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 37.36%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Los Angeles

Los Angeles Galaxy
38.6%
Draw
22.8%
Los Angeles FC
38.6%
57
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 12.45am
Los Angeles
2-1
LA Galaxy
Tillman (4'), Bouanga (35' pen.)
Tillman (21'), Cherundolo (22'), Murillo (44'), Hollingshead (61'), Palencia (75')
Aude (29')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
4-2
LA Galaxy
Bouanga (24', 75'), Hollingshead (33'), Tillman (84')
Sanchez (7'), Palacios (13'), Hollingshead (66'), Acosta (90')
Sharp (25'), Yoshida (59')
Cuevas (43')
> Preview
Jul 5, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Boyd (26'), Puig (73')
Edwards (34'), Costa (54'), Aude (72')
Sanchez (57')
Tillman (19'), Maldonado (70'), Duenas (82')
> Preview
May 24, 2023
3.30am
Round of 16
Los Angeles  
vs.
  LA Galaxy
Apr 16, 2023 9.30pm
LA Galaxy
2-3
Los Angeles
Boyd (41'), Delgado (84')
Vela (22', 68'), Hollingshead (70')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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