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LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
Jul 8, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
Minnesota United

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Pec (25', 90')
Nelson (20'), Puig (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pukki (73')
Sang-bin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles
Friday, July 5 at 3.40am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-3 Vancouver
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-0 Minnesota United

Given the defensive struggles the Loons are experiencing and being down to their third-string goalkeeper, a talented group like the Galaxy should be able to find their share of openings and make them count on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 57.15%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
57.15% (-3.251 -3.25) 19.89% (1.131 1.13) 22.96% (2.125 2.13)
Both teams to score 67.31% (-1.19 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.68% (-2.777 -2.78)29.32% (2.782 2.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.64% (-3.46 -3.46)50.36% (3.466 3.47)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (-1.602 -1.6)10.4% (1.6071 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.06% (-3.762 -3.76)33.93% (3.768 3.77)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)24.88% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.49% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 57.15%
    Minnesota United 22.96%
    Draw 19.89%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.86% (0.534 0.53)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.84% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.494 -0.49)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.357 -0.36)
4-2 @ 2.74% (-0.343 -0.34)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.373 -0.37)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.269 -0.27)
4-3 @ 1.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.258 -0.26)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 57.15%
1-1 @ 8.15% (0.747 0.75)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.158 0.16)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.399 0.4)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 19.89%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.521 0.52)
0-1 @ 3.6% (0.556 0.56)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.387 0.39)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.18 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 22.96%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Minnesota Utd

Los Angeles Galaxy
80.6%
Draw
11.1%
Minnesota United
8.3%
36
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
5-2
LA Galaxy
Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
May 19, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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