Major League Soccer

Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Ibrahim (7')
Clark (36'), Dorsey (65'), Ibrahim (74'), Escobar (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Manoel (43'), Morgan (59')
Amaya (64'), Harper (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are solid defensive units, but we are giving the Dynamo the edge because they are at home and may have a little more space in the attacking third if Tolkin is not available as we anticipate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	New York Red Bulls
52.32% ( -0.79)	25.08% ( 0.33)	22.6% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.86% (

-0.84)

53.14% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.29% (

-0.72)

74.71% (

0.72)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

-0.65)

20.3% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

-1.05)

52.67% (

1.04)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

-0.04)

38.51% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

-0.03)

75.25% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 52.31%

New York Red Bulls 22.6%

Draw 25.08%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 52.31%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.6%