Major League Soccer

Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
2 - 0
Los Angeles

Lod (16'), Hlongwane (88')
Clark (32'), Oluwaseyi (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Murillo (22'), Atuesta (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, March 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Minnesota United 2-0 Los Angeles FC

Minnesota have just one home win in five attempts against LAFC, but they are in good form at the moment and are the favorites heading into this fixture. The visitors are also finding it difficult to put the ball in the net, failing to score in their last two matches. We expect the home side to come out victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Los Angeles FC
39.59% ( 0.36)	25.47% ( -0.06)	34.93% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.02% (

0.21)

47.97% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.85% (

0.19)

70.15% (

-0.19)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.05% (

0.28)

23.94% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.83% (

0.4)

58.16% (

-0.4)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.48% (

-0.08)

26.51% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.28% (

-0.11)

61.71% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 39.59%

Los Angeles FC 34.93%

Draw 25.46%

Minnesota United	Draw	Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.59%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.93%