Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
39.59% ( 0.36) | 25.47% ( -0.06) | 34.93% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.02% ( 0.21) | 47.97% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.85% ( 0.19) | 70.15% ( -0.19) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% ( 0.28) | 23.94% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% ( 0.4) | 58.16% ( -0.4) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% ( -0.08) | 26.51% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.28% ( -0.11) | 61.71% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |