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Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Chicago Fire

Montreal
3 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kamara (21', 29'), Brault-Guillard (44')
Waterman (57'), Camacho (61'), Wanyama (69')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Shaqiri (39' pen., 57' pen.)
Reynolds (19'), Sekulic (79'), Teran (85'), Czichos (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Columbus Crew
Saturday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 Chicago Fire

The Fire have done a great job of shutting down their opponents through large portions of their matches this season, but they have a tendency to hang back and defend more often than not, and an attack as dynamic as Montreal's only need a couple of chances to make them count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawChicago Fire
61.21% (0.273 0.27) 21.07% (-0.118 -0.12) 17.71% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.21% (0.256 0.26)42.79% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (0.252 0.25)65.19% (-0.25800000000001 -0.26)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (0.16199999999999 0.16)13.49% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (0.328 0.33)40.51% (-0.333 -0.33)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)37.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)74.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 61.21%
    Chicago Fire 17.71%
    Draw 21.07%
CF MontrealDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 61.21%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.07%
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.71%

How you voted: Montreal vs Chicago Fire

CF Montreal
75.0%
Draw
21.4%
Chicago Fire
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
0-2
Montreal

Teran (22'), Torres (57')
Kone (19'), Quioto (24')
Kone (34'), Wanyama (45+6'), Mihailovic (59'), Breza (62')
Kone (45+3')
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
Montreal
2-0
Chicago Fire
Quioto (60'), Teran Diaz (80' og.)

Stojanovic (39'), Teran Diaz (49')
May 29, 2021 6pm
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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