Major League Soccer

Oct 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
3 - 0
Montreal

Sirois (19' og.), Dan Thorhallsson (50'), Torres (54')
Enrique (68'), Araujo (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Campbell (24'), Corbo (60'), Saliba (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, September 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Orlando City 2-1 CF Montreal

Orlando have been in imperious form on home turf, and with Montreal winless in five matches, we think that the hosts will make full use of home advantage to claim maximum points on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	CF Montreal
59.67% ( 0.56)	21.62% ( -0.26)	18.71% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 54% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.4% (

0.73)

43.6% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.01% (

0.71)

65.99% (

-0.7)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.78% (

0.42)

14.22% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.04% (

0.8)

41.96% (

-0.8)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.96% (

0.11)

37.04% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.17% (

0.1)

73.83% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 59.67%

CF Montreal 18.71%

Draw 21.61%

Orlando City	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.86% Total : 59.67%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.61%	0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.71%