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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
FC Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls
3 - 1
Cincinnati

Morgan (7', 59'), Duncan (52')
Nealis (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baird (67')
Yedlin (88'), Murphy (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Montreal
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 FC Cincinnati

The last four meetings between New York Red Bulls and Cincinnati have produced a combined 11 goals, and we can see another entertaining affair unfolding here. That said, we are backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
46.15% (-0.958 -0.96) 24.88% (0.306 0.31) 28.97% (0.653 0.65)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.557 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (-0.937 -0.94)47.49% (0.938 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (-0.872 -0.87)69.7% (0.874 0.87)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (-0.788 -0.79)20.63% (0.788 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.81% (-1.258 -1.26)53.19% (1.261 1.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)30.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)66.31% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 46.15%
    FC Cincinnati 28.97%
    Draw 24.88%
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.286 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.17 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.97%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati

New York Red Bulls
62.1%
Draw
27.6%
FC Cincinnati
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Kubo (3')
Nwobodo (32'), Miazga (45+4'), Orellano (74')
Amaya (19'), Vanzeir (60')
Amaya (70'), Ngoma (90+5')
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
(Aggregate 1-1 | NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties)
Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Ravens
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami27185462402259
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati27163848361251
3Columbus Crew25147452242849
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls27101254334942
5New York City FCNY City27116104036439
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2710893129238
7Orlando City27107104241137
8Toronto28103153650-1433
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2787123638-231
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2779114743430
11DC United2778124155-1429
12CF MontrealMontreal2769123558-2327
13Chicago Fire2768133348-1526
14Nashville SCNashville2768132644-1826
15New England RevolutionNew England2582152849-2126

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy28157653381552
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake27138653361747
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles25145648321647
4Colorado RapidsColorado2713595345844
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2512584435941
6Portland TimbersPortland2711795546940
7Houston DynamoHouston2611783731640
8Seattle SoundersSeattle2711793732540
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd27106114445-136
10Austin FCAustin2797113038-834
11Dallas2796124445-133
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2776144452-827
13St Louis City27512103851-1327
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2752203463-2917


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