Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.