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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Nashville

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Nashville

Gazdag (10', 39', 89')
Lowe (2'), Uhre (20'), Elliott (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Muyl (60'), Bauer (67'), Godoy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 New England
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Nashville SC

Only Inter Miami have seen their matches produce more goals than Philadelphia Union this term, and we could be in for another goal fest this weekend. That said, we can also see the teams cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
58.34% (3.43 3.43) 22.05% (-0.883 -0.88) 19.61% (-2.548 -2.55)
Both teams to score 54.15% (-0.968 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.586 0.59)44.17% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (0.567 0.57)66.55% (-0.569 -0.57)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (1.349 1.35)14.83% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (2.515 2.52)43.14% (-2.518 -2.52)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-2.18 -2.18)36.42% (2.177 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-2.267 -2.27)73.2% (2.265 2.27)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.34%
    Nashville SC 19.61%
    Draw 22.05%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.646 0.65)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.341 0.34)
3-0 @ 6.26% (0.678 0.68)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.293 0.29)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.445 0.45)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.159 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.05%
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.482 -0.48)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.536 -0.54)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.427 -0.43)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.61%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Nashville

Philadelphia Union
76.9%
Draw
23.1%
Nashville SC
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
0-2
Philadelphia

Lovitz (39'), Leal (43'), Bunbury (71')
Lovitz (81'), Moore (90+5')
Gazdag (40' pen., 84')
Curtin (40'), Wagner (44'), Gazdag (84')
Carranza (90+5')
May 1, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Nashville
1-1
Philadelphia
Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')
Nov 28, 2021 10.30pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Nashville
(Aggregate 1-1 | Philadelphia win 2-0 on penalties)
Gazdag (45+2')
Williams (38')
Leal (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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