Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Nashville SC |
58.34% ( 3.43) | 22.05% ( -0.88) | 19.61% ( -2.55) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.83% ( 0.59) | 44.17% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.45% ( 0.57) | 66.55% ( -0.57) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.17% ( 1.35) | 14.83% ( -1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.86% ( 2.52) | 43.14% ( -2.52) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( -2.18) | 36.42% ( 2.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( -2.27) | 73.2% ( 2.27) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.65) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.68) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.45) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |