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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Soldier Field
Montreal Impact

Chicago Fire
4 - 3
Montreal

Haile-Selassie (45+8'), Gutierrez (84' pen.), Cuypers (90+5'), Acosta (90+9')
Salquist (11'), Gasper (45+4'), Herbers (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coccaro (7' pen., 12' pen.), Yankov (70')
Coccaro (16'), Choiniere (90+11')
Edwards (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-3 Montreal
Sunday, March 10 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-2 CF Montreal

 While Montreal have made a very positive start to the season, they will be starting to feel the effects of travelling week-on-week, especially after an intense battle down in Miami last time out. This looks like a very even contest on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawCF Montreal
46.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 24.92%28.21% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)48.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73% (0.004999999999999 0)70.27% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43%20.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.34% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 46.87%
    CF Montreal 28.21%
    Draw 24.92%
Chicago FireDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.21%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
0-0
Chicago Fire
Choiniere (13'), Quioto (86'), Corbo (90+3')
Pineda (20'), Doumbia (76'), Herbers (80')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2023 2.44am
Chicago Fire
3-0
Montreal
Gutierrez (9'), Haile-Selassie (11'), Shaqiri (33')
Czichos (35'), Souquet (56'), Pineda (78')

Offor (70')
> Preview
Sep 14, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
3-2
Chicago Fire
Kamara (21', 29'), Brault-Guillard (44')
Shaqiri (39' pen., 57')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
0-2
Montreal
Teran (22'), Torres (57')
Kone (34'), Wanyama (45+6'), Mihailovic (59'), Breza (62')
Kone (45+3')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 34
Montreal
2-0
Chicago Fire
Quioto (60'), Teran Diaz (80' og.)

Stojanovic (39'), Teran Diaz (49')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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