Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | CF Montreal |
53.31% ( 0.84) | 22.68% ( -0.22) | 24% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.41% ( 0.39) | 41.59% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.01% ( 0.4) | 63.99% ( -0.4) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.39% ( 0.43) | 15.61% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.4% ( 0.8) | 44.6% ( -0.8) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% ( -0.3) | 30.87% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.85% ( -0.35) | 67.15% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.65% Total : 53.31% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.85% Total : 24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 71 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 69 | 38 | 31 | 63 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 52 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 47 |
8 | DC United | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 40 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 40 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 48 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 61 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 47 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 46 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 38 |
12 | St Louis City | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 21 |