Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
