Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
40.23% | 27.26% | 32.52% |
Both teams to score 49.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.18% | 55.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.06% | 76.94% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% | 27.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% | 62.6% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.08% | 31.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.63% | 68.37% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |