Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 20

Jul 31, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
4 - 1
Columbus Crew

Castellanos (14'), Andrade (35'), Parks (51'), Rodriguez (71')
Andrade (36'), Thorarinsson (41'), Castellanos (55'), Medina (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Santos (90+7' pen.)
Santos (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Columbus Crew
66.38%	20.08%	13.54%

Both teams to score 47.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56%

46.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28%

68.72%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9%

13.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.27%

39.72%

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.56%

45.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.72%

81.28%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 66.37%

Columbus Crew 13.54%

Draw 20.08%

New York City FC	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-0 @ 12.29% 1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 6.57% 4-0 @ 4.23% 4-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.82% Total : 66.37%	1-1 @ 9.54% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.08%	0-1 @ 4.7% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.01% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.54%