Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
61.48% | 21.65% | 16.87% |
Both teams to score 50.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% | 46.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31% | 68.99% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.32% | 14.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.15% | 42.85% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.96% | 41.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.41% | 77.59% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 6.32% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.48% Total : 61.48% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |