Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.