Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 10.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match.