Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
26.11% | 23.54% | 50.35% |
Both teams to score 57.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.45% | 43.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.06% | 65.94% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% | 30.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% | 66.4% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% | 17.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.19% | 47.8% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 6.58% 1-0 @ 6.29% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.06% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 8.04% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-3 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |