Major League Soccer

Sep 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 1
Vancouver

Bakrar (55')
Perea (20'), Rodriguez (37'), Sands (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gauld (60' pen.)
Laborda (28'), Berhalter (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-0 Montreal
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 Vancouver
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York City FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

Both teams are coming off impressive performances in midweek, with each having plenty to play for at this stage of the campaign. Overall, Vancouver have been the more consistent of the two, but it seems like the Pigeons' are starting to gel as a unit at a critical juncture, so we expect a stalemate from two sides in high spirits.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
53.72% ( -0)	22.84%	23.44% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.09% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.07% (

0.01)

42.93% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.66% (

0.01)

65.34% (

-0)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05% (

0.01)

15.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.77% (

0.01)

45.23% (

-0)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.92% (

0.01)

32.08% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.45% (

0.01)

68.55% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 53.72%

Vancouver Whitecaps 23.44%

Draw 22.83%

New York City FC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.47% Total : 53.72%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.58% Total : 23.44%