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Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Minnesota United

NY City
0 - 2
Minnesota Utd


Sands (32'), Pellegrini (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregus (53'), Garcia (90+5')
Trapp (60'), Reynoso (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Minnesota United

The Pigeons have been underwhelming through much of the 2023 campaign but made some good signings during the secondary transfer window, which should enable them to be more clinical in the attacking third. Meanwhile, Minnesota have been a lot more potent in front of goal lately but not nearly as sharp on the back end, and we expect them to give up as many chances as they create on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
55.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 22.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.68% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)15.96% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.39% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.52%
    Minnesota United 21.68%
    Draw 22.79%
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: NY City vs Minnesota Utd

New York City FC
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Minnesota United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 8
Minnesota Utd
3-3
NY City
Alonso (13'), Rodriguez (20'), Johnson (32' og.)
Alonso (8'), Calvo (70')
Castellanos (16'), Tajouri (18', 64')
Sep 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 36
Minnesota Utd
2-1
NY City
Rodriguez (20', 36')
Warner (45'), Calvo (54'), Shuttleworth (89')
Warner (77')
Wallace (91')
Ring (21')
Jun 30, 2017 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Callens (38'), Harrison (52'), Villa (63')
Wallace (0'), 68 (0'), Villa (45')
Ramirez (9')
Molino (23'), Venegas (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30169560332757
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175953411256
4Orlando City31137115346746
5New York City FCNY City31128114844444
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474844444
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101258481037
9CF MontrealMontreal31910124461-1737
10Toronto32114173956-1737
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134145-434
12DC United31810134663-1734
13Nashville SCNashville3189143147-1633
14New England RevolutionNew England3094173360-2731
15Chicago Fire3279163755-1830

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410762471552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157854411352
4Seattle SoundersSeattle31148946341250
5Colorado RapidsColorado31155115853550
6Houston DynamoHouston3113994334948
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver3013895041947
8Portland TimbersPortland311291064541045
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125348545
10Dallas31107145052-237
11Austin FCAustin3199133444-1036
12St Louis City31713114658-1234
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233772-3518


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